Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.3%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Eller 49.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Staal
Eller
Last 8: Staal 1-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Staal
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Staal
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Staal
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
49.5% (457)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
57.7% (26)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
44.1% (59)
+0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
50.0% (446)
51.0% (259)
Away
50.2% (468)
47.7% (283)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
50.0%
45.7%
P2
49.5%
44.3%
P3
50.5%
56.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |