Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs McTavish 49.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Eller
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
47.6% (616)
+8.9%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
57.8% (102)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
33.3% (6)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
53.1% (211)
52.2% (389)
Away
59.7% (278)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
58.1%
47.9%
P3
57.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |