Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs McTavish 50.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
McTavish
Last 5: Eller 4-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
51.1% (769)
+1.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
50.6% (178)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
28.6% (14)
+16.9%
On power play, Eller has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
52.6% (340)
52.3% (461)
Away
51.8% (411)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
52.4%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |