Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs McTavish 43.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 74.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
McTavish
Last 6: Eller 4-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
42.4% (675)
+11.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
40.5% (42)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
50.0% (8)
+2.6%
On power play, Eller has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
56.4% (486)
41.9% (372)
Away
51.2% (537)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
55.1%
47.2%
P2
55.3%
36.2%
P3
51.7%
43.6%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |