Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.7%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs McTavish 51.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
McTavish
Last 5: Eller 4-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
51.3% (725)
+1.5%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
55.8% (113)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
28.6% (7)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
54.5% (448)
52.0% (454)
Away
50.2% (484)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
52.8%
51.3%
P2
50.9%
50.4%
P3
53.4%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |