Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Barzal 46.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Eller
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
46.6% (483)
+4.5%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
40.9% (22)
+4.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Eller
Barzal
Home
51.2% (510)
49.6% (242)
Away
47.8% (521)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Eller
Barzal
P1
50.7%
42.4%
P2
49.0%
49.5%
P3
48.3%
47.7%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |