Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Barzal 41.4% (+17.1%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 63.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Eller
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
40.4% (463)
+16.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
34.2% (38)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
28.6% (7)
+27.9%
On power play, Eller has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Eller
Barzal
Home
53.1% (211)
38.1% (244)
Away
59.7% (278)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Eller
Barzal
P1
55.4%
46.6%
P2
58.1%
35.7%
P3
57.1%
37.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%