Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs McCarron 45.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Eller
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
McCarron
Last 6: Eller 4-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Eller
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
43.6% (163)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
41.7% (12)
+20.8%
On power play, Eller has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Eller is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Eller shoots left. McCarron is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Eller
McCarron
Home
47.5% (421)
44.9% (78)
Away
46.8% (462)
42.3% (97)
By Period
Eller
McCarron
P1
47.8%
47.1%
P2
47.3%
40.7%
P3
46.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |