Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs McCarron 52.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 57.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Eller
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
54.5% (618)
-1.7%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
42.1% (19)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
35.3% (34)
+10.9%
On power play, Eller has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Eller
McCarron
Home
54.5% (448)
52.2% (339)
Away
50.2% (484)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Eller
McCarron
P1
52.8%
53.5%
P2
50.9%
50.6%
P3
53.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |