Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs McCarron 54.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Eller
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Eller
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
62.8% (86)
-9.0%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
50.0% (2)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
44.4% (18)
+8.2%
On even strength, McCarron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Eller
McCarron
Home
56.4% (486)
59.5% (42)
Away
51.2% (537)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Eller
McCarron
P1
55.1%
71.0%
P2
55.3%
48.7%
P3
51.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |