Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs McCarron 52.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 69.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Eller
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Eller
McCarron
Last 10: Eller 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Eller
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
5
Eller
McCarron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
53.4% (2,901)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
45.3% (86)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
50.5% (463)
-3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Eller
McCarron
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Eller
McCarron
P1
51.2%
53.9%
P2
50.1%
52.5%
P3
50.2%
52.0%
OT
56.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |