Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.1%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Rasmussen 50.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Eller
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eller
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Eller
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
50.1% (681)
+1.0%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
63.5% (63)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
38.7% (75)
+4.9%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Eller
Rasmussen
Home
51.2% (510)
50.6% (423)
Away
47.8% (521)
49.5% (396)
By Period
Eller
Rasmussen
P1
50.7%
50.4%
P2
49.0%
53.8%
P3
48.3%
46.5%
OT
56.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |