Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 71.6%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 60.2%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 62.3%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Eller
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eller
Rasmussen
Last 8: Eller 2-6 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
3
Eller
Rasmussen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Rasmussen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Eller
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
50.8% (333)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
60.7% (28)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
45.9% (37)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Rasmussen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Eller
Rasmussen
Home
56.4% (486)
51.4% (212)
Away
51.2% (537)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Eller
Rasmussen
P1
55.1%
54.5%
P2
55.3%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
54.2%
OT
27.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | OT | 02:42 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |