Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Rasmussen 47.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 76.2%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 53.7%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 65.2%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Eller
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Rasmussen
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Rasmussen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Eller
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Eller
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
47.3% (184)
+5.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
44.4% (9)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
0.0% (3)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Rasmussen is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Eller
Rasmussen
Home
52.6% (340)
42.3% (104)
Away
51.8% (411)
51.1% (92)
By Period
Eller
Rasmussen
P1
52.4%
47.2%
P2
54.1%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |