Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 69.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Eller
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Rantanen
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Eller
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
46.3% (309)
+4.8%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
51.3% (39)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
16.7% (6)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Eller
Rantanen
Home
51.2% (510)
51.8% (197)
Away
47.8% (521)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Eller
Rantanen
P1
50.7%
47.2%
P2
49.0%
44.8%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |