Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 94.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 71.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Eller
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eller
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Eller
Rantanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
50.9% (334)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
43.7% (119)
+13.4%
On power play, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Eller
Rantanen
Home
56.4% (486)
49.4% (241)
Away
51.2% (537)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Eller
Rantanen
P1
55.1%
47.1%
P2
55.3%
46.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |