Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.8%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Rantanen 50.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 92.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Eller
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Eller
Rantanen
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
7
Eller
Rantanen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
0
Eller
Rantanen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.0% (1,522)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.8% (484)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
14.3% (7)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Eller
Rantanen
Home
51.4% (6,118)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Eller
Rantanen
P1
51.2%
49.0%
P2
50.1%
51.3%
P3
50.2%
51.8%
OT
56.7%
57.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |