Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Geekie 44.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 68.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Eller
Geekie
Last 9: Eller 7-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
1
Eller
Geekie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
43.7% (584)
+9.1%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
47.1% (68)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
50.0% (8)
-3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
54.5% (448)
45.3% (329)
Away
50.2% (484)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
52.8%
41.2%
P2
50.9%
45.0%
P3
53.4%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |