Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Geekie 47.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 61.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 72.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
45.7% (352)
+7.1%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
63.2% (19)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
33.3% (3)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
52.6% (340)
48.5% (165)
Away
51.8% (411)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
52.4%
48.5%
P2
54.1%
45.1%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |