Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Geekie 47.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 82.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 58.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Eller
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
47.0% (117)
+9.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
47.1% (34)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
0.0% (3)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
53.1% (211)
45.3% (75)
Away
59.7% (278)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
55.4%
43.1%
P2
58.1%
48.1%
P3
57.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |