Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Foligno 46.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 65.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Foligno
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Eller
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
0
Eller
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
46.3% (566)
+3.8%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
43.4% (106)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
46.4% (69)
+0.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
51.4% (465)
48.9% (364)
Away
47.3% (491)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
47.9%
48.7%
P2
51.6%
46.9%
P3
47.7%
44.0%
OT
62.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |