Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Foligno 49.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
49.0% (261)
+7.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
57.1% (42)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
47.1% (51)
+9.4%
On power play, Eller has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
53.1% (211)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.7% (278)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
55.4%
40.4%
P2
58.1%
55.8%
P3
57.1%
51.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |