Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Foligno 52.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 66.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Eller
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
52.0% (50)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
66.7% (21)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
0.0% (1)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
56.4% (486)
51.2% (41)
Away
51.2% (537)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
55.1%
55.6%
P2
55.3%
48.0%
P3
51.7%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%