Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Eller
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
48.7% (495)
+4.1%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
56.9% (65)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
43.8% (144)
+1.7%
On power play, Eller has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
52.6% (340)
49.6% (359)
Away
51.8% (411)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
52.4%
46.7%
P2
54.1%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |