Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 80.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Eller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Schmaltz
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
37.6% (237)
+12.3%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
32.5% (40)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
50.0% (4)
-6.1%
On power play, Eller has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
49.4% (559)
42.6% (129)
Away
48.5% (550)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
50.1%
38.8%
P2
46.7%
29.4%
P3
49.9%
42.2%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |