Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+10.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Eller
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
45.9% (665)
+10.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
46.8% (111)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
50.0% (24)
+6.5%
On power play, Eller has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
53.1% (211)
44.7% (409)
Away
59.7% (278)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
55.4%
40.3%
P2
58.1%
47.6%
P3
57.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%