Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Eller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Eller
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
38.5% (309)
+14.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
53.2% (79)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
25.0% (12)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
54.5% (448)
38.0% (184)
Away
50.2% (484)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
52.8%
40.3%
P2
50.9%
39.9%
P3
53.4%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |