Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 75.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Eller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
48.1% (268)
+4.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
50.5% (91)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
58.8% (17)
-13.3%
On power play, Eller has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
52.6% (340)
49.0% (206)
Away
51.8% (411)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
52.4%
53.6%
P2
54.1%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.2%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |