Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Kelly 49.5% (+8.2%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 61.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Eller
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
50.0% (6)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
40.0% (5)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Eller
Kelly
Home
56.4% (486)
60.0% (5)
Away
51.2% (537)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Eller
Kelly
P1
55.1%
33.3%
P2
55.3%
40.0%
P3
51.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%