Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +28.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Kelly 41.8% (+28.4%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 64.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Eller
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
22.9% (35)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
27.3% (11)
+18.9%
On even strength, Eller has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Eller
Kelly
Home
54.5% (448)
23.8% (21)
Away
50.2% (484)
24.0% (25)
By Period
Eller
Kelly
P1
52.8%
22.2%
P2
50.9%
23.5%
P3
53.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%