Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 93.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 80.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 90.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 89.2%
10.8%
89.2%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Eller
Bergeron
Last 9: Eller 7-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
1
Eller
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
60.5% (1,394)
-8.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
64.0% (300)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
53.7% (255)
-3.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
54.6% (383)
62.0% (949)
Away
48.9% (401)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
53.8%
59.2%
P2
52.5%
63.9%
P3
48.6%
57.0%
OT
55.6%
68.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |