Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 66.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eller
Bergeron
Last 7: Eller 3-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Eller
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
62.2% (352)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
53.5% (245)
-0.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
56.4% (486)
61.9% (917)
Away
51.2% (537)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
55.1%
60.8%
P2
55.3%
60.3%
P3
51.7%
63.0%
OT
27.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |