Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 86.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 89.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
Eller
Bergeron
Last 10: Eller 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
13
Eller
Bergeron
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
63.8% (1,102)
-12.7%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
65.3% (288)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
47.6% (210)
-4.0%
On power play, Bergeron has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
51.2% (510)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.8% (521)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
50.7%
62.5%
P2
49.0%
62.7%
P3
48.3%
60.6%
OT
56.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |