Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 71 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 89-68 in 157 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 88.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 91.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
89
(157 meetings)
68
89
Eller
Bergeron
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
15
56
Eller
Bergeron
71 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
39
17
Eller
Bergeron
56 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
14
16
Eller
Bergeron
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
60.1% (13,938)
-9.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
60.8% (3,213)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
53.0% (2,776)
-6.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
51.4% (6,118)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
51.2%
59.3%
P2
50.1%
60.0%
P3
50.2%
58.6%
OT
56.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |