Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 68.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 64.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 70.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Eller
Bergeron
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Eller
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
57.0% (1,376)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
62.8% (323)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
51.3% (279)
-5.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
49.7% (181)
59.1% (986)
Away
51.3% (228)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
54.2%
55.5%
P2
46.5%
58.0%
P3
49.6%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |