Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 91.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 67.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 78.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Bergeron
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Eller
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
56.2% (940)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
61.6% (284)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
50.3% (165)
-6.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
49.4% (559)
57.7% (712)
Away
48.5% (550)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
50.1%
55.0%
P2
46.7%
57.1%
P3
49.9%
58.2%
OT
71.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |