Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Eller
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
59.2% (370)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
40.9% (44)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
51.7% (58)
-8.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Eller
Stastny
Home
51.2% (510)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.8% (521)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Eller
Stastny
P1
50.7%
57.7%
P2
49.0%
54.2%
P3
48.3%
57.7%
OT
56.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%