Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Eller
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Eller
Stastny
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
6
Eller
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
2
Eller
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
57.5% (412)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
60.0% (65)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
44.4% (9)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Eller
Stastny
Home
56.4% (486)
58.3% (276)
Away
51.2% (537)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Eller
Stastny
P1
55.1%
63.7%
P2
55.3%
57.3%
P3
51.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |