Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 29-26 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Eller
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
29
(55 meetings)
26
29
Eller
Stastny
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
13
Eller
Stastny
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
11
8
Eller
Stastny
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
10
8
Eller
Stastny
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Eller
Stastny
Home
51.4% (6,118)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Eller
Stastny
P1
51.2%
56.3%
P2
50.1%
55.4%
P3
50.2%
53.5%
OT
56.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |