Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Krebs 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 61.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 60.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 59.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Eller
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eller
Krebs
Last 8: Eller 2-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
3
Eller
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Eller
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
49.5% (560)
+3.3%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
52.6% (38)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
43.3% (67)
+2.2%
On power play, Eller has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Eller
Krebs
Home
52.6% (340)
49.4% (314)
Away
51.8% (411)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Eller
Krebs
P1
52.4%
47.0%
P2
54.1%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |