Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 71.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 77.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 72.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Eller
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Eller
Krebs
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
5
Eller
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
4
Eller
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
46.0% (2,159)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
52.5% (99)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
38.6% (171)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Eller
Krebs
Home
51.4% (6,118)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Eller
Krebs
P1
51.2%
45.9%
P2
50.1%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
44.8%
OT
56.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |