Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Krebs 45.5% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 64.3%
Defensive zone
Krebs 65.8%
Neutral zone
Krebs 68.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Eller
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eller
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
44.6% (388)
+11.9%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
25.0% (4)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
45.0% (20)
+11.5%
On power play, Eller has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Eller
Krebs
Home
53.1% (211)
46.8% (188)
Away
59.7% (278)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Eller
Krebs
P1
55.4%
47.2%
P2
58.1%
44.9%
P3
57.1%
41.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |