Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 74.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Eller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Eller
Hartman
Last 8: Eller 3-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Eller
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Eller
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
44.8% (936)
+6.3%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
49.4% (154)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
33.3% (54)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Eller
Hartman
Home
51.2% (510)
47.4% (568)
Away
47.8% (521)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Eller
Hartman
P1
50.7%
47.2%
P2
49.0%
43.4%
P3
48.3%
43.8%
OT
56.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |