Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Hartman 44.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 75.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 69.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Eller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Eller
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Eller
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
42.6% (495)
+11.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
38.5% (26)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
48.8% (43)
+3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Eller
Hartman
Home
56.4% (486)
43.4% (288)
Away
51.2% (537)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Eller
Hartman
P1
55.1%
43.1%
P2
55.3%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
42.0%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |