Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 77.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Eller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Eller
Hartman
Last 7: Eller 6-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
47.1% (649)
+5.7%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
47.1% (68)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
45.2% (73)
+1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Eller
Hartman
Home
54.5% (448)
46.5% (361)
Away
50.2% (484)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Eller
Hartman
P1
52.8%
45.1%
P2
50.9%
44.4%
P3
53.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |