Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Strome 44.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 83.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Eller
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Strome
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
43.0% (788)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
47.9% (96)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
50.0% (34)
+2.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Eller
Strome
Home
56.4% (486)
42.6% (486)
Away
51.2% (537)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Eller
Strome
P1
55.1%
41.0%
P2
55.3%
47.8%
P3
51.7%
42.1%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |