Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 69.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 89.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Eller
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Eller
Strome
Last 6: Eller 6-0 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
0
Eller
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
41.2% (1,040)
+11.6%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
43.0% (151)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
51.4% (35)
-5.9%
On power play, Eller has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Eller
Strome
Home
52.6% (340)
40.1% (581)
Away
51.8% (411)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Eller
Strome
P1
52.4%
41.4%
P2
54.1%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |