Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Strome 44.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 48-30 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 77.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 94.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 92.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Eller
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
30
(78 meetings)
48
30
Eller
Strome
Last 10: Eller 9-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
15
11
Eller
Strome
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
20
12
Eller
Strome
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
13
7
Eller
Strome
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
44.1% (6,839)
+7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
49.3% (854)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
41.5% (410)
+5.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Eller
Strome
Home
51.4% (6,118)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Eller
Strome
P1
51.2%
44.0%
P2
50.1%
45.3%
P3
50.2%
44.3%
OT
56.7%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |