Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Couturier 48.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Eller
Couturier
Last 8: Eller 7-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
47.4% (1,052)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
54.7% (95)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
50.3% (183)
-0.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
54.6% (383)
48.3% (658)
Away
48.9% (401)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
53.8%
50.1%
P2
52.5%
45.5%
P3
48.6%
49.9%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |