Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 56.2% vs Couturier 53.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (306)
52.6% (624)
+4.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
66.7% (66)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (35)
53.2% (188)
+6.8%
On power play, Eller has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
52.7% (150)
50.7% (424)
Away
62.0% (200)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
54.1%
55.5%
P2
59.6%
51.7%
P3
59.8%
55.2%
Final 5 min
63.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |